In the News (from Kurzweil): “To Peter Turchin, who studies population dynamics at the University of Connecticut in Storrs, the appearance of three peaks of political instability at roughly 50-year intervals starting with the U.S. Civil War is not a coincidence. For the past 15 years, Turchin has been taking the mathematical techniques that once allowed him to track predator-prey cycles in forest ecosystems, and applying them to human history.
“He has analyzed historical records on economic activity, demographic trends and outbursts of violence in the United States, and has come to the conclusion that a new wave of internal strife is already on its way. The peak should occur in about 2020, he says, and will probably be at least as high as the one in around 1970. …
“If Turchin’s prediction of unrest in the United States around 2020 is correct, the next few years should see an increase in tightly knit US groups whose rituals have a threatening quality but promise great rewards.
“Previous bouts of turbulence were not dominated by any one issue, Turchin says. But he already sees the warning signs of social strife, including a surplus of graduates and increasing inequality. ‘Inequality is almost always a bad thing for societies,’ he says.”
My Comment: An integral society, which we have to accept and which obliges us through the evolutionary development of society, assumes a uniform level of prosperity for everyone, that is, to achieve relative equality for everyone, like in one family. Only in this case will we obtain stability in our new development.